One of my favorite betting angles in NCAAB is same-season revenge.
Next college hoop season, I promise to keep better records and expand my coverage of favorable situations in which Team A loses a home game to Team B in January and circles the date of the road rematch scheduled for February.
One such situation arrives in mid-February when Wisconsin travels to East Lansing to avenge a 66-63 overtime loss at home to Michigan State.
The bitter defeat on January 3 came when Wisconsin’s apparent game-tying three-pointer was disallowed by the officials after replays showed the shot left the hands of Wisconsin junior Ryan Evans a fraction of second after time expired.
Wisconsin was eager to play a second overtime session while Michigan State was delighted to escape from the tough venue with a narrow win.
The game was closely contested in a 12-point window (MSU’s biggest lead was 7; UW’s biggest lead was 5) over 45 hard-played minutes.
Look for Wisky to payback MSU in the rematch on February 16.
STAY AHEAD OF THE SCHEDULE……I watch weeknight college hoop action with a printout of the large slate of Saturday NCAAB games in front of me. Serious bettors always watch games with their next wager in mind. While watching the action, I focus on the hidden areas of the game, the ones hard to quantify, like team unity, coaching decisions and direction, shot selection, transition defense, weakside defense, out-of-bounds plays, etc.
Successful sports bettor Mike Greene calls himself a professional sports watcher, especially in the sport of football. He studies the nuances of the game often ignored or downplayed by the announcers, analysts or fellow gamblers. One of Greene’s specialties is the kicking game in the NFL or NCAAF as he fully realizes the importance of special teams in deciding the outcome of a drive, a halftime result or a full-game result.
NETTO’S NUMBERS…..John Netto, a full-time market trader and one-time Marine, uses the discipline gained from nearly nine years of military service combined with the techniques and strategies of trading global markets to attack in-running wagering available at Cantor Gaming properties throughout Las Vegas.
“I should never again play the NFL at odds of 11-10,” said Netto. “My biggest edges in professional football appear after kickoff when “live” wagering is conducted.”
Pressed to give an opinion on this Sunday’s pair of conference championship games, Netto leaned to the “under” in both games.
Netto also made a bold prediction when asked the possibility of legalized sports betting in the United States, “If I had to name the month and year when residents of New York, Chicago or Los Angeles could visit a nearby outlet to place a legal wager on the Yankees, Bears or Lakers, I would guess June of 2016.”
QUOTE OF THE DAY…..Cal Poly SLO head basketball coach Joe Callero offered an insightful line about opponents.”You’re not playing against an opponent; you’re playing against your own best effort.”True in basketball, true in life.
A WORKING VACATION……I’m planning to spend several weeks in Costa Rica next month in an effort to expand our reach at Eye On Gaming. We’ve improved our website significantly over the past six months, including the recruitment of many sharp sports betting contributors and the launch of a nightly radio show, The EOG Sports Hour, which has quickly gained an international following.
The biggest hole in our game is the lack of worldwide gaming coverage. Our Las Vegas-style sports betting information is excellent but we need to expand our horizons to cover important gambling centers in England, Australia, China, Costa Rica and beyond.
FRIDAY’S BEST BET……Play 818 SAN ANTONIO -11 over Sacramento. The Kings are dead last in the league in the most important offensive statistic: field-goal percentage. Amazingly, the Kings shot 30% in their last game and won when Indiana scored only eight points in the fourth quarter, blowing a 12-point lead in the game’s final 12 minutes. Less than a week ago, Sacramento shot 25.6% from the field (22-for-86) in an embarrassing 99-60 loss to the Mavericks in Dallas. The Kings were 4-for-23 in the first quarter and trailed the Mavs at halftime, 52-23.
Sacramento this season has been an underdog of eight points or more seven times and they are 0-7 against the spread in that role. San Antonio reserves Daniel Green, Gary Neal and Matt Bonner have been playing well lately to compensate for the absence of Manu Ginobli, sidelined two months with a broken hand. Kawhi Leonard, the athletic rookie out of San Diego State, is playing alongside point guard Tony Parker in San Antonio’s starting lineup.
COMING MONDAY……An introduction to “Twenty Questions,” a Super Bowl proposition contest sure to offer positive expectancy for the value-minded sports investor.
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