The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (22-4) and TCU Horned Frogs (14-10) will meet up in a Mountain West Conference affair Tuesday night inside Daniel-Meyer Coliseum.
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at TCU Horned Frogs
UNLV escaped with a 65-63 win over the San Diego State Aztecs as 10-point home favorites Saturday, going “under” the total for the third time in four games. “Our guys were tired of answering questions why we lost six in a row and nine of 10 to them,” stated Runnin’ Rebels first-year coach Dave Rice on the big victory. The Runnin’ Rebels could get caught looking ahead in this game due to facing the New Mexico Lobos next. UNLV is 1-7 ATS on the road this season, including an 0-3 ATS mark as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points.
The Runnin’ Rebels are outscoring their opponents by an average of 13.8 points per game and shooting 47.1 percent from the field this year. Tuesday’s game marks the 20th all-time meeting between these two programs, with UNLV holding a convincing 17-2 mark, including wins in each of the last six meetings. The program captured a convincing 101-78 win over TCU inside the Thomas & Mack Center almost a month ago, racing out to a 19-2 lead and never looking back.
TCU plays host to a ranked opponent for the first time this season and snapped a two-game losing streak in capturing a 75-71 win over the Colorado State Rams as 1.5-point home favorites last time out. “This definitely boosts our confidence,” stated Horned Frogs senior forward Craig Williams, who scored 20 points off the bench. Offensively, the team has three players that average in double figures, with senior guard Hank Thorns leading the way in netting 12.9 points a contest. TCU is 9-25 ATS at home the last two-plus seasons.
The Horned Frogs current four-game conference home winning streak is their longest since the 2000-01 season. TCU is 11-2 in games decided by six points or fewer, which has set a school record for victories within that point range. Defensively, the team has been great in causing opponents to make mistakes, coming into tonight’s game forcing an average of 16.8 turnovers per game. The program is third in the Mountain West Conference and 55th nationally in turnover margin.
Bettors will likely back the Runnin’ Rebels due to their 6-0 ATS mark in the last six meetings, while the Horned Frogs are 7-21 ATS following a spread victory.
Recommendation: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels -9
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