The Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1) and LSU Tigers (13-0) will meet up in the 2012 BCS National Championship Game on Monday inside the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers
Alabama gets its chance at revenge against LSU after dropping a 9-6 overtime contest as 5.5-point home favorites on Nov. 5. The Crimson Tide lead the overall series, 45-25-5, with the two teams splitting the last four meetings. “This could be a totally different type of game,” stated Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban. “There’s so many good players on both sides of the ball for both teams.” The program has tallied an impressive 17-6 record against teams ranked in the AP top 25 poll. Alabama is 4-0 ATS on a neutral field the last two-plus seasons.
The Crimson Tide are led by a defense that ranked first in the nation in allowing just 191.3 total yards per game. Alabama has been especially dominating in the first half, giving up seven points or less in 14 of its last 15 games. Offensively, the team is led by Heisman Trophy finalist Trent Richardson, who actually averaged 142 rushing yards per game against five top 25 teams this season. He will be running behind an offensive line that returned four starters from a year ago that combined to make 139 starts.
LSU ran the table during the regular season and captured the SEC championship game with a 42-10 win over the Georgia Bulldogs as 11.5-point favorites. The Tigers have also gone over the total in their last three games. Offensively, the team scored 38.5 points per game, which entered postseason play as the 12th-best average in major college football. The program managed to outscore opponents by an incredible 491-131 margin. LSU tallied a 10-3 ATS mark this season and the ‘over’ was 7-5 in those contests.
The Tigers have been playing two quarterbacks for most the year due to the early-season suspension of Jordan Jefferson, as Jarrett Lee was under center the first half of the year. Jefferson has since taken over the controls in nearly a full-time manner, as the duo combined for nearly 2,000 passing yards and relying on a punishing running attack for the most part. Michael Ford and Spencer Ware led a quartet of running backs for the offensive unit, rushing for 755 and 700 yards respectively.
Bettors will likely back the Tigers due to their 4-1 ATS mark in bowl games as an underdog, while the Crimson Tide are 3-7-1 ATS as a favorite of three points or less.
Recommendation: Over 40
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