The San Francisco Giants (9-8) and Cincinnati Reds (8-9) will continue a National League series on Wednesday night at the Great American Ball Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 ET
San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco may have suffered from some jet lag in dropping a 9-2 decision to the Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday night, as the team was coming off a doubleheader sweep of the New York Mets the day before. The Giants have really struggled with runners in scoring position, coming into the series hitting .167 (13-for-78) in that situation over the previous eight games. It’s still important to note that the offense has managed to score 4-or-more runs in 13 of 17 games. San Francisco is 0-4 when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season, with all four games going “over” the total.
Giants starting pitcher Barry Zito (1-0, 1.71 ERA) has led the club to wins in his first three starts this year, including a 4-3 road victory over the New York Mets last time out, giving up two runs and four hits over five frames. The left-hander has struggled against the Reds in this career, going 3-4 with a 7.47 ERA, including an 0-2 mark and 7.20 ERA in five tries at the Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati will look to win three games in a row for the first time this season, as the club is enjoying just its second win streak of the entire 2012 campaign. “It’s nice to be home,” commented Reds manager Dusty Baker. “We are hoping we can make up a lot of ground here at the house.” The Reds are 17-13 all-time against the Giants inside this ball park, including wins in all three contests a year ago. Cincinnati is 31-30 as a home favorite of -125 to -150 the last two-plus seasons, with the “over” going 32-25 in those contests.
Reds starting pitcher Bronson Arroyo (1-0, 2.91 ERA) will be looking to make it two in a row, coming off a 6-3 road win over the St. Louis Cardinals last time out, surrendering three runs and five hits over eight frames. The right-hander didn’t figure in the decision in a 6-5 home win over the Miami Marlins in his season-opening effort, allowing five runs (four earned) and 10 hits over 6.1 innings. In 10 career games (nine starts) versus the Giants, Arroyo has a losing 3-5 record and 3.25 ERA, but four of those losses have come on the road in this series.
Bettors will likely back the Reds due to their 12-2 record as a home favorite of -110 to -150, while the Giants are 2-9 in Zito’s last 11 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Recommendation: Cincinnati Reds -130
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