CHICAGO CUBS (CARLOS ZAMBRANO) AT PITTSBURGH PIRATES (PAUL MAHOLM)
The Pittsburgh Pirates are slumping, having lost 7 of their last 10 games, but a visit from the bumbling Chicago Cubs could be just what the doctor ordered. The Cubs won on Sunday night but they’re still one of the worst investments in baseball having lost -20.2 units on the season. They’ve been horrible on the road this season (18-34 -12.7 units) and have been dominated by NL Central foes dropping -14.9 units. Pirates need some wins and despite their recent downturn remain one of the most profitable teams in baseball (+13.6 units). Pirates have won 6 of 9 against the Cubs this season and Paul Maholm has a 9-2 career mark against Chicago.
Bet Pittsburgh Pirates (Maholm) -135 over Chicago Cubs (Zambrano)
FLORIDA MARLINS (JAVIER VAZQUEZ) AT NEW YORK METS (MIKE PELFREY)
Both teams have been on an uptick lately but YTD the Mets have lost money at home (22-26 -7.2 units) while the Florida Marlins have been profitable on the road (29-23 +11.4 units). Neither pitcher has been in tremendous form this year, but both are competent so that component of the handicap is a wash. Florida has taken 5 of 8 from the Mets this year including both prior meetings in New York.
Bet Florida Marlins (Vazquez) +105 over New York Mets (Pelfrey)
CINCINNATI REDS (BRONSON ARROYO) AT HOUSTON ASTROS (BUD NORRIS)
Reds enter this game on a three game winning streak, though form isn’t a major concern when we’re able to go against the pitiful Houston Astros at a reasonable price. Houston is 17-36 -19 units at home and a pathetic 20-56 -31.4 units against right handed pitching. That’s pretty much all we need to know to oppose the Astros at a decent price. Reds have taken 6 of 9 from Houston this season.
Bet Cincinnati Reds (Arroyo) -120 over Houston Astros (Norris)
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (CHRIS CARPENTER) AT MILWAUKEE BREWERS (ZACK GREINKE)
Both teams playing good baseball of late, but we’ve yet to see a reason to fade the Brewers at home. Milwaukee is 39-14 +20.8 units at Miller Park this year and given their substandard road record (21-35) its evident that they’ll have to take advantage of their strong home field advantage if they’re hoping to win the NL Central. Cards right around breakeven in most situational breakdowns and have lost money this season against opponents with winning records (18-20 -5.4 units). Greinke has been very sharp in his recent starts (0.92 ERA L3) and the Brewers are undefeated in his home assignments (8-0 +8 units).
Bet Milwaukee Brewers (Greinke) -120 over St. Louis Cardinals (Carpenter)
164 total views, 4 views today