WASHINGTON NATIONALS (ROSS DETWILER) AT COLORADO ROCKIES (ESMIL ROGERS) 5:40 PM PACIFIC
The Rockies are favored in this matchup despite the fact that their starter for this game has a home ERA of 24.00! In all fairness, it was based on one home start but Esmil Rogers is back in the starting rotation for Colorado only because of the trade of former ace Ubaldo Jimenez. Rogers hasn’t started a game since April 25th, but he wasn’t particularly impressive in his early assignments with a 6.33 ERA overall. Despite these bloated numbers the Rockies have won three of his 4 starts though all three of his victories were on the road. In his only start at Coors Field he allowed 8 ER in 3 innings (thus the 24.00 ERA). Ross Detwiler has been solid in limited action and one start this year. Nats have lost money on the road but the Rockies have been horrendous at home with a record of 26-29 -15.2 units. They’ve not exactly taken advantage of opportunities against teams with losing records—Rockies are 23-26 -11.2 units against teams with losing records.Bet Washington Nationals (Detwiler) +130 over Colorado Rockies (Rogers)
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (CLIFF LEE) AT SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (MADISON BUMGARNER)
Giants struggling to win games and have been awful at the plate this year. Phillies, meanwhile, are in great form having won 7 of their last 10 and 6 straight. Philadelphia has made a ton of money this year (+15.8 units) and although we respect the Giants record against LHP (20-9) we just don’t see a reason to fade Philadelphia given their current form.
Bet Philadelphia Phillies (Lee) -135 over San Francisco Giants (Bumgarner)
TORONTO BLUE JAYS (BRETT CECIL) AT TAMPA BAY RAYS (WADE DAVIS) 9:10 AM PACIFIC
Not sure what to make of either of these teams and they’re both being left in the dust in the AL East as Boston and New York fight it out for the top spot. In terms of this matchup we see a lot more upside with the visiting Toronto Blue Jays. Brett Cecil is far from being a ‘household name’ but he’s a solid pitcher with a 3-1 record and a 2.91 ERA in 5 road starts. His L3 starts have been even better—he’s posted a 2.35 ERA and the Jays have won all three. Wade Davis, meanwhile, has been struggling of late with a 7.16 ERA in his L3 though the Rays did win two of those games. Tampa has been a very disappointing home team this season with a record of 25-26 -9.4 units in the ‘Cigar City’.
Bet Toronto Blue Jays (Cecil) +115 over Tampa Bay Rays (Davis)
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