The Milwaukee Brewers (22-28) and Los Angeles Dodgers (32-18) will close out a four-game National League series on Thursday night at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 ET
Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee has won the first three games of this series, including a 6-3 victory over Los Angeles ace Clayton Kershaw on Wednesday night. “We’re playing really good baseball right now,” commented Brewers manager Ron Roenicke. The Brewers have won their first road series since their very first trip of the season, taking three of four from the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field from April 9-12. The club is now in search of its first Thursday victory, dropping all three previous games on this day of the week in 2012. Milwaukee is 6-3 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125, with the “over” going 5-4 in those contests.
Brewers starting pitcher Zack Greinke (5-2, 3.66 ERA) is coming off one of his worst start of the 2012 campaign, allowing seven runs and 10 hits over 2.1 innings in an 8-5 road defeat to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The right-hander has compiled an even 2-2 mark and 7.03 ERA in five road outings, with opposing hitters batting .369 against him. In three career games versus the Dodgers, Greinke is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA, which includes a no-decision effort in a 3-2 home win on April 18.
Los Angeles will likely have to play without outfielder Matt Kemp for another long period of time, as the runner-up to the 2011 MVP award left the field after re-injuring a hamstring injury that already placed him on the 15-day disabled list once this year. “It feels worse than the first time,” Kemp said after the game. The Dodgers entered the contest with the majors’ best record and 32-17, while also pacing the league with a 21-7 mark at home. Los Angeles is 4-1 as a home underdog of +100 to +125, with the “over” going 3-2 in those affairs.
Dodgers starting pitcher Chad Billingsley (2-3, 3.88 ERA) has failed to earn a decision in his last two efforts, but the team has won both contests at home against the St. Louis Cardinals and Houston Astros. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 3.66 ERA in six home outings, but opposing hitters are batting .302 against him. In eight career games (six starts) versus the Brewers, Billingsley is 2-1 with a 4.31 ERA, including a no-decision effort on April 17. He allowed two runs and five hits in six innings in a 5-4 setback at Miller Park.
Bettors will likely play the total, as the UNDER is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings in this series.
Pick: Under 7
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