The Minnesota Timberwolves (21-21) and Phoenix Suns (19-21) will meet up Monday night in a Western Conference affair inside the US Airways Center
Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns
Minnesota heads out on the road after dropping two straight home games, including a 95-89 loss to the New Orleans Hornets as eight-point favorites. The Timberwolves struggled in hitting just 5 of 23 shots from beyond the arc and turning the ball over 17 times. “It’s like we reverted back to a long time ago,” commented Timberwolves head coach Rick Adelman. The team is 9-9 on the road this year, including a 7-5 mark versus Western Conference opponents. Minnesota is 17-7 ATS as an underdog and the “over” is 14-10 in that situation.
The Timberwolves have lost nine consecutive games against the Suns, losing those games by an average of 13.7 points per game over that span. Minnesota dropped a 104-95 decision to Phoenix as 4.5-point road underdogs on March 1, while going “under” the posted total of 203. Hitting the century mark is important to this team’s success, posting a 12-6 record when scoring 100-plus points, while going 9-15 when failing to do so.
Phoenix has won the first two of its current four-game home stand, coming off a 98-91 win over the Memphis Grizzlies as 1.5-point underdogs. The Suns are 12-9 at home this season, including a solid 9-4 mark versus Western Conference rivals. It’s important to note that the squad has faced double-digit deficits in each of its last five wins. The franchise holds a 58-27 series advantage against Minnesota, including a 33-11 mark when playing in the Valley of the Sun. Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in March and the “under” is 5-1 in those games.
The Suns are enjoying their third-straight 5-1 start after the NBA All-Star break, with only the Chicago Bulls (7-1) enjoying a better record over that span. Phoenix has won all five home games since point guard Steve Nash played in the All-Star Game in Orlando. He finished with 13 points and dished out a season high-tying 17 assists in his last meeting with tonight’s opponent.
Bettors will likely back the Timberwolves due to their 7-3 ATS mark as a road underdog, while the home team is 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Recommendation: Minnesota Timberwolves +4
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