The Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots will meet up Sunday afternoon in the AFC Championship Game inside Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots
Baltimore escaped with a 20-13 win over the Houston Texans as 7.5-point home favorites in the divisional round last week, as the franchise meets Sunday’s opponent for the first time since Oct. 17, 2010. “We’ve gone to Foxborough and played before,” commented Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco. “We have won in New England.” He will need to step up his performance in order for the team to advance, throwing for just 176 yards and getting sacked five times last week. Baltimore is 6-6 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons.
The Ravens are the only team to earn four consecutive playoff berths since the 2008 campaign, while also being the lone squad to win at least one postseason game in each of those seasons. Baltimore has played in an NFL-high 11 road playoff games since 2000, with seven postseason road games over that span. There’s no question that this team is able to pull off an upset this afternoon, snapping New England’s 11-game home playoff win streak in a 33-14 win during the 2010 playoffs.
New England advanced to its eight AFC Championship Game with a convincing 45-10 win over the Denver Broncos in the divisional round. The Patriots have compiled a 6-1 all-time record in this particular situation, including a perfect 3-0 mark at home. “The Ravens are the best team we’ve faced all year,” commented Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. “There’s no one that’s going to overlook a team like that.” Total bettors will find that the franchise has gone ‘under’ the total in three previous home games in this contest. New England is 15-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last two-plus campaigns.
The Patriots are 8-2 in their 10 playoff games inside Gillette Stadium, while winning all of their games inside of this venue by 826 combined points. New England and Baltimore have met six times during the regular season since the 1996 campaign, with today’s host winning each affair. Brady has been very pedestrian in his numbers in winning four of those games, throwing for a combined 979 yards and tossing four touchdowns and three interceptions. He was limited to just 154 yards and threw two touchdowns and three interceptions in the playoff loss.
Bettors will likely back the Ravens due to their 5-1-1 ATS record versus winning teams, while the Patriots are 1-6 ATS in playoff games.
Recommendation: Baltimore Ravens +7.5
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