The Detroit Lions (7-4) and New Orleans Saints (8-3) will meet up to close out Sunday night’s schedule inside the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints
Detroit will look to snap a two-game losing streak in this series that includes a 45-27 loss as 14-point road underdogs in 2009. The Lions have alternated wins and losses over his last five games, coming off a 27-15 defeat against the Green Bay Packers as four-point road underdogs on Thanksgiving Day. “We’ve got to try and get to 8-4,” commented Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford. He will need to take care of the football against an opportunistic defense, throwing nine interceptions in the last three games. Detroit is 6-4 ATS on the year and the ‘over’ is 3-1 when it plays as an underdog.
The Lions will be shorthanded on the defensive line with star Ndamukong Suh serving the first game of his two-game suspension, which comes at a bad time in facing an offense that has three running backs that have rushed for at least 400 yards this year. Detroit’s defense will need some help from the line in terms of getting pressure on Saints quarterback Drew Brees, who has thrown for 709 combined yards in the last two meetings in this series. Detroit is needing a win to remain in the Wild Card picture, sitting four games back of the Green Bay Packers in the NFC North divisional race.
New Orleans is really starting to hit its stride and tallied a 49-24 win over the New York Giants as seven-point home favorites on Monday Night Football. The Saints lead the NFL in gaining 449.6 yards per game on offense, bringing in a balanced attack that throws for a league-high 324.2 yards and ranks eighth in gaining 125.5 yards on the ground. “I think we have found balance,” commented Saints coach Sean Payton. New Orleans is 7-4 ATS on the year and the ‘over’ is 6-5 in those contests.
The Saints will go as far as Brees can take them, leading all quarterbacks in throwing for 3,689 passing yards, which is actually the most ever in the NFL through 11 games of action. New Orleans is really following its formula from its Super Bowl-winning season of 2009, handing the ball off to a trio of backs that ran for 197 yards last week versus the Giants. On the defensive side, New Orleans ranks 19th in the league in surrendering 22.9 points per game.
Bettors will likely back the Saints due to their 5-0 ATS mark at home, while the Lions are 1-4 ATS when facing NFC competition.
Recommendation: New Orleans Saints -8.5
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