The New England Patriots and New York Giants will meet up in Super Bowl XLVI Sunday afternoon inside Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
New England Patriots vs. New York Giants
New England has advanced to its seventh Super Bowl in franchise history and is 3-3 in America’s biggest sporting event, which includes a 17-14 loss to the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLII on Feb. 3, 2008 as 12-point favorites. “It’s actually been a very fun week here,” commented Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. The Patriots will be playing with double revenge, dropping a 24-20 contest during the regular season as nine-point home favorites. Sunday’s game will be the fifth Super Bowl rematch in league history. New England is 51-30 ATS when revenging a loss against an opponent.
The Patriots ranked second in the league offensively in gaining 428.0 yards per game, as Brady has thrown 25 touchdown passes and only five interceptions since losing to the Giants in Week 9. New England scored 32.1 points per game and has scored at least 30 points in 13 of its 15 victories during the regular season and playoffs. All eyes will be on the left ankle of star tight end Rob Gronkowski, as he was limited in practice this week, as he finished the regular season with 1,327 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns.
New York has enjoyed quite a ride during the 2012 playoffs, tallying a 24-2 home victory over the Atlanta Falcons before winning back-to-back road games against the Green Bay Packers (37-20) and San Francisco 49ers (20-17). The Giants have gone “under” the total in five of their last six games, while out-gaining opponents in their last seven contests. Most NFL experts feel that the key to the game is the team’s defensive front getting to Brady in a similar fashion to the last two meetings. “We feel that we certainly have a very strong group of men in the front,” commented Giants head coach Tom Coughlin. New York is 7-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
The Giants are led offensively by quarterback Eli Manning and one of the strongest receiving corps in the league—led by wide receivers Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks. New York will try and exploit a New England secondary that allowed 311 receiving yards per game during the regular season. The running game hasn’t been nearly as formidable as in years past, gaining just 1,427 yards during the regular season, which is far different than the 2,148 rushing yards in finished with in 2007.
Bettors will likely back the Giants due to being 8-0 ATS as a playoff underdog, while the Patriots are 1-6 ATS when favored in the postseason.
Recommendation: New York Giants +3
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