The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) and Green Bay Packers (9-0) are scheduled to face off in an NFC contest Sunday afternoon inside Lambeau Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay has lost three consecutive games and failed to cover the number in each contest, including a 37-9 defeat as 3.5-point home underdogs to the Houston Texans last week. The Buccaneers have been out-gained in eight of their nine games this season.
It’s been a disappointing season for the youthful roster, especially third-year quarterback Josh Freeman, who has thrown nine touchdowns and 13 interceptions in nine games. He seemed to take a big step forward a year ago, throwing for 25 touchdowns and just six interceptions.
Bettors shouldn’t write off the Buccaneers completely in this matchup, as the franchise has won three consecutive meetings in this series since the 2005 campaign, including a 38-28 loss as 9.5-point road underdogs on Nov. 8, 2009.
Defensively, Tampa Bay simply doesn’t matchup with the talented Green Bay attack, ranking 31st in the league in allowing 401.2 yards per game. The Buccaneers stop unit is also giving up 25.9 points a contest.
Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 15-17 ATS as an underdog, while the ‘under’ is 18-14 in that span.
Green Bay is off to a 9-0 start for the first time since the 1962 season and fourth time in franchise history. The Packers are coming off a dominating 45-7 win over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football, which was the largest margin of victory in the history of that particular series.
The Packers have won 11 consecutive games in the regular season, while also proving victorious in nine consecutive contests inside Lambeau Field. The team has tallied a 15-1 home mark since Week 10 of the 2009 season, which is the best mark in the NFL over that span.
From a handicapping perspective, it’s important to note that the Packers have outscored their opponents by a 320-186 margin this season, as the 134-point differential leads all teams.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has almost wrapped up the league’s MVP award, completing 72.9 percent of his passes for 2,869 yards and 28 touchdowns with just three interceptions. It’s all led to an astronomical 130.7 passer rating.
On the defensive end, the unit ranks 28th in total yards allowed, but 13th in giving up just 20.7 points per game. Through 10 weeks of the season, Green Bay leads the NFL with 17 interceptions. Since the 2010 season, the squad ranks third in allowing just 17.0 points a game.
Bettors will likely back the Packers due to their 12-3-1 ATS mark as a home favorite, while the ‘under’ is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.
Recommendation: Green Bay Packers -14
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